Jumping in early on NFL lines like a team opening at -3 and closing -4.5 often...

https://wiki-room.win/index.php/Should_I_Fade_a_Defense_After_It_Gives_Up_38_Points%3F

Jumping in early on NFL lines like a team opening at -3 and closing -4.5 often means you’re chasing value that disappears by kickoff. Early info is noisy, so patience paying off near close often nets sharper odds and smarter bets